Zi 字媒體
2017-07-25T20:27:27+00:00
上週台股來到了歷史高位區12,273點後隨即回檔,看起來一切很美好,熱錢繼續湧進台股,你是不是也被熱錢推著走,走進貪婪的迷霧森林之中,而當太陽初露,雲霧散開時,你可能發現自己做了一個夢,一個瘋狂的投機之夢,夢中的你是否已經賺得飽飽的呢?還是,才剛進場?
內容目錄
不要過度壓榨你的運氣。
水可載舟,亦可覆舟
不要過度壓榨你的運氣。
有人相信運氣,賭錢如此,投機如此,但為什麼總是在好運來臨,賺了點小錢之後,沒能即時的收手離場,進而過度壓榨你的運氣,等到好運用盡,把賺到的錢吐回去之後,最後總也是順便地把本金一起賠了進去,這種種的因果都只是因為”想要更多”的貪婪。
我們總想著要更多,誰不想要更多呢?
只是如果外在的環境條件有所變化了,我們就需要為投機設定一個目標,目標到了我們就該斷然的離場,不該捨不得,否則投機沒有終點,你將會陷入老鼠跑滾輪般的困境,面臨著一個看不到終點的遊戲。
美股道瓊上週實在弱勢,孰不知大陸股市7/6井噴1,518點,而美股道瓊仍然在年線之下鬼混,下周美股道瓊月線扣抵來到(26,290點~26,025點),季線下周扣抵(24,345點~23,664點),月線與年線之間的距離只剩355點,而年線與季線的距離也只剩935點,當三線繼續壓縮結集在一塊後,下半年的趨勢方向,是不是即將水落石出呢?
美股道瓊
水可載舟,亦可覆舟
台股上周維持強勢,熱錢持續來襲,新台幣強勢走升,今年以來已升值1.77%, 央行外匯局局長顏輝煌直言,美國印這麼多鈔票,讓其他國家匯市受到很大困擾與衝擊,各國央行必要時,進場調節匯市都是本於職責所在。
然而,水可載舟,亦可覆舟,可千萬不要忽視了海水退潮的力量。
台股下周的月線扣抵(11,306點~11,549點),月線持續上升,季線扣抵(10,616點~10,774點),季線也持續上升,在上週季線已經正式交叉年線,有助於讓行情走得遠一點。上一次的季線黃金交叉年線是在2019年4月,持續一年後因為新冠疫情的關係,在2020年3月季線死亡交叉年線。
台股技術分析這一次,有機會再走一年嗎?
我在6月初時就把手中的台股股票清光,或許你會笑我傻,沒有參與台股即將破紀錄的歷史時刻,又或許我只爬到了半山腰,上頭還有一段路才有辦法看到絕美的大景,但我一點也不在意,我只知道自己設定的目標已經達到,我已然心滿意足,剩下的就是等待著下一次的機會來臨了。
延伸閱讀: (1)新台幣狂升登亞洲最強 看懂熱錢今年為何青睞台灣 (2)央行狂掃美元對抗熱錢 台灣6月外匯存底續創新高
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