Zi 字媒體

早上跟媽媽問起家中的蓮花，已見花苞從水中升起，但遲不見蓮花開花，媽媽回說:時間還沒到，花苞冒出水面後大概需要等三天，才會開花，所以，是時候未到。 這讓我想到本來預計季均線將在5/15之後翻揚，心裡有那麼一點期待，指數可以順利攻過年均線，讓季均線可以提早翻揚，只可惜上周台股企圖上攻年均線未果而做了短線回檔，可賀的是台股在美股上週因為失業人數居高不下，以及擔憂疫情有第二波風險，中美又再度撕破臉….等等利空訊息的轟炸之下，美股上週在短短三天內快速拉回了1,082點，但後兩天又急攻了437點，這樣上沖下洗的震盪了645點，而台股在上周只下跌了199點，也並未跌破前波的低點(10,720點)，所以，台股多頭仍未被破壞，持續整理等待季均線翻揚，目前時候未到。 趨勢方向目前台股指數在10,730點，月均線在10,705點，持續上揚中，未來一周扣抵10,288點~10,567點，月均線在10,311點，未來一周扣抵11,844點~11,816點。若520台海沒有甚麼天翻地覆的事情發生，未來一周美股也沒有大幅度的下挫風險，則台股很有機會可以讓季均線翻揚，並且站上年均線呼嘯而去，但是天有不測風雲，最近的美股實在很弱，風雨飄搖中，若不幸美股撐不住，那我想台股也好不到哪邊。 所以，居安思危，如果採取的操作方式是長期定期定額存股法，則當股市有機會拉回打第二隻腳時，我們應該要把握住這個機會，如果是採用雙均線操作法，則當指數拉回季均線時，我們可以當作是一個買入的觀察點，若未來盤勢不幸跌破季均線真的轉為空頭趨勢，則短線操作的朋友，可記得採取停損的策略，不要留念了。 雖然目前台股舉棋不定，但是我從周線級別的MACD指標中發覺，周MACD正從負值低檔交叉， 上一次的周MACD從負值低檔交叉是在2019年1月9,759點，隨後指數上漲到2019年4月11,096點才做反轉，總共上漲了1,337點，走了三個月的多頭，這次會不會再來一次呢?我很期待。 @font-face { font-family: TablePress; src: url(data:application/font-woff2;charset=utf-8;base64,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) format('woff2'), url(tablepress.woff) format('woff'); 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