亞馬遜老闆離世界首富還有多遠？

Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos came closer than he has ever been before to becoming the world's richest person on Monday.

That comes after shares of Amazon (amzn, +0.64%) pushed up to an all-time high of about $1,017 a share Monday, sending Bezos' net worth to about $86 billion. That rally was likely induced by the company's $13.7 billion purchase of Whole Foods recently. Before Bezos could claim the top spot, which is currently Microsoft founder Bill Gates, Amazon's stock came down toward the end of the day, ending nearly flat at $995 a share. Bezos' net worth also fell to $85.2 billion.

Still, that all-time high price put Bezos about $4 billion away from overtaking Gates, who is worth about $90 billion as of Monday, according to Bloomberg data. Since Bezos net worth is largely tied to his 78.9 million shares of Amazon, becoming the world's richest person is completely within the realm of possibility. After all, his net worth has already shot up by $19.3 billion in the last six months thanks to strong earnings and growing investor confidence in the economy, sending Amazon's stock 35% higher since the start of the year.

So how much higher does Amazon's stock price need to go for Bezos to become the world's richest person?

Assuming the net worth of current top billionaires remains relatively stable, Amazon's stock would have to rise to about $1,069 a piece—7.4% above the stock's closing price Monday. Bezos' net worth would then reach $90.1 billion.

The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that Amazon shares can hit $1,123 in the next 12 months, based on Bloomberg data. But if Amazon manages to show a sizable earnings beat for its next report on July 27, Bezos could become the world's richest person even sooner than that.

That said, the company could disappoint investors the way it did during the holiday season last year. It's also possible Microsoft's growth in the next 12 months could push Bill Gates' net worth even higher. Plus, an 8% pop in Amazon's stock may still seem daunting to shareholders: Despite analysts and investors warning against overvaluing tech stocks, the sector came roaring back Monday, with Alphabet's stock up nearly 2% and Apple stock up nearly 3%.

Meanwhile, tax reforms, which are expected to be a boon for tech companies, have hit speed bumps in Washington D.C., as the focus turns toward to President Donald Trump and his interactions with former FBI Director James Comey.

本周一，亞馬遜（Amazon）CEO傑夫·貝佐斯距離成為世界首富更近了一步。

當天亞馬遜股價創下歷史新高，漲至每股1,017美元，使貝佐斯的資產凈值增加到約860億美元。此輪上漲的動力來自亞馬遜最近以137億美元收購全食超市（Whole Foods）的大手筆交易。目前的世界首富是微軟（Microsoft）創始人比爾·蓋茨。亞馬遜股價在收盤時回落至每股995美元，接近持平。貝佐斯的資產凈值也下降到852億美元，未能成為世界首富。

當然，即使亞馬遜股價創下歷史新高時，貝佐斯的資產凈值與蓋茨仍有40億美元的差距。據彭博社的數據顯示，在周一，蓋茨的資產凈值約為900億美元。不過貝佐斯的個人財富大部分來自其持有的7,890萬股亞馬遜股票，因此他完全有可能成為世界首富。畢竟，在過去六個月，亞馬遜的強勁業績以及投資者對經濟的信心日增，使亞馬遜股價自今年年初以來上漲了35%，他的資產凈值也隨之增長了193億美元。

那麼亞馬遜股價需要漲到多高，才能讓貝佐斯成為世界首富？

假設當前的世界首富們的資產凈值保持相對穩定，亞馬遜股價需要上漲至約每股1,069美元，比周一收盤價上漲7.4%。貝佐斯的資產凈值將達到901億美元。

據彭博社的數據顯示，華爾街分析師們一致認為，亞馬遜股價在未來12個月可以達到1,123美元。如果在7月27日的下一次業績報告中，亞馬遜的業績能夠大幅超出預期，貝佐斯或許會更快成為世界首富。

儘管如此，亞馬遜也可能如同去年節日季一樣令投資者失望。另外一種可能是，在未來12個月，微軟業績增長，使比爾•蓋茨的資產凈值變得更高。而且亞馬遜股價上漲8%，對於股東們來說，似乎依舊是一項艱巨的任務：雖然分析師和投資者警告科技股被高估，但周一科技行業的股票還是大幅反彈，Alphabet股價上漲近2%，蘋果（Apple）股價漲幅接近3%。

另外，被視為科技公司福音的稅務改革方案，在華盛頓特區遭遇了阻力，因為現在所有人都在關注唐納德•川普總統及其與前FBI局長詹姆斯·科米的恩怨糾葛。（財富中文網）

譯者：劉進龍/汪皓